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		<title>Is NATO Truly a Defensive Alliance? A Critical Review</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/is-nato-truly-a-defensive-alliance-a-critical-review/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=is-nato-truly-a-defensive-alliance-a-critical-review</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariaok]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Feb 2025 23:21:19 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Traditional Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=2321</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&#160;For decades, NATO has been presented as a purely defensive alliance, existing solely to protect its member states from external threats. Yet, history tells a different story. From the bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999 to interventions in Libya and Afghanistan, NATO has repeatedly engaged in military actions far beyond its borders—often without a direct attack [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>&nbsp;For decades, NATO has been presented as a purely defensive alliance, existing solely to protect its member states from external threats. Yet, history tells a different story. From the bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999 to interventions in Libya and Afghanistan, NATO has repeatedly engaged in military actions far beyond its borders—often without a direct attack on its members. If NATO is truly defensive, why does its track record resemble that of an interventionist force?</p>



<p>NATO’s original purpose was to counter the Soviet Union during the Cold War, but with the USSR long gone, the alliance has only expanded its reach. The post-Cold War promise to limit NATO’s eastward expansion was abandoned, raising tensions with Russia and contributing to global instability. Meanwhile, its role in military interventions—many of which lacked UN approval—raises serious questions about its true objectives. Is NATO really about defense, or is it a tool for projecting Western power under the guise of security?</p>



<p>Imagine a world where military alliances are genuinely defensive, committed to de-escalation rather than provocation. A NATO that upholds its original mandate—protecting its members without interfering in sovereign states—could play a stabilizing role in global security. But to achieve this, the alliance must confront its own contradictions. It cannot claim to be a force for peace while engaging in offensive operations and expanding its influence unchecked.</p>



<p>It’s time for an honest reassessment of NATO’s role in global security. Should the alliance return to its defensive roots, or should it acknowledge its transformation into an interventionist force? Citizens, policymakers, and global leaders must demand transparency and accountability. The world cannot afford another “defensive” war that looks anything but.</p>



<h2>Case Studies: Kosovo (1999), Libya (2011), Afghanistan (2001-2021)</h2>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="alignleft size-full is-resized"><img loading="lazy" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/abandoned-orthodox-church.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2324" width="360" height="543" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/abandoned-orthodox-church.webp 424w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/abandoned-orthodox-church-199x300.webp 199w" sizes="(max-width: 360px) 100vw, 360px" /></figure></div>



<p>NATO claims to be a defensive alliance, yet its military operations in Kosovo, Libya, and Afghanistan tell a different story. These interventions were not triggered by attacks on NATO members but were framed as necessary actions for humanitarian or security reasons. However, each of these conflicts left behind long-term instability, raising questions about NATO’s true objectives. Were these interventions about defense, or were they exercises in power projection under the guise of security?</p>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="alignright size-full is-resized"><img loading="lazy" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Afghanistan-soldier.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2327" width="459" height="306" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Afghanistan-soldier.webp 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Afghanistan-soldier-300x200.webp 300w" sizes="(max-width: 459px) 100vw, 459px" /></figure></div>



<ul><li><strong>Kosovo (1999):</strong> NATO launched a 78-day bombing campaign against Yugoslavia <strong><em>without UN Security Council approval</em></strong>, setting a precedent for bypassing international law. While the operation was justified as a humanitarian mission to stop ethnic cleansing, it resulted in civilian casualties, destruction of infrastructure, and long-term instability in the region followed with another <strong><em>ethnic cleansing (of non-albanian people) and destroying monasteries, churches, and monuments.</em></strong> The recognition of Kosovo’s independence by Western states, despite Serbia’s opposition, further deepened tensions.</li><li><strong>Libya (2011):</strong> What started as a no-fly zone enforcement quickly escalated into a regime-change operation, leading to the overthrow and death of Muammar Gaddafi. <strong><em>Libya, once a stable country, descended into chaos</em></strong>, with armed militias, human trafficking, and a prolonged civil war. NATO’s intervention not only failed to stabilize Libya but also created a power vacuum that fueled extremism across North Africa that will be hard to uproot. Libia will never be the same and <strong><em>perhaps never in peace again</em></strong>.</li><li><strong>Afghanistan (2001-2021):</strong> NATO’s longest military engagement began as a counterterrorism mission after 9/11 but evolved into a nation-building project <strong><em>with no clear exit strategy</em></strong>. After two decades, trillions of dollars spent, and thousands of lives lost, NATO forces withdrew, <strong><em>leaving Afghanistan under Taliban control</em></strong>—essentially back to square one. The abrupt withdrawal highlighted the failure of military intervention as a long-term solution to security challenges and left people who supported the west for years, at the mercy of the talibans.</li></ul>



<p>If NATO is truly a defensive alliance, it must critically assess its past interventions and their consequences. These case studies demonstrate that <strong><em>military action often leads to unintended instability</em></strong>, undermining NATO’s credibility. A return to the alliance’s original mission—strictly defending member states rather than engaging in external conflicts—would prevent further geopolitical disasters.</p>



<p>To regain trust, NATO must commit to respecting international law and ensuring that future operations are genuinely defensive rather than interventionist. Without accountability, the pattern of military miscalculations will continue, raising the risk of new conflicts. The question remains: Will NATO learn from these failures, or will it continue to justify interventions that create more problems than they solve?</p>



<h2>The Blurred Line Between Defense and Intervention</h2>



<p>NATO presents itself as a purely defensive alliance, yet <strong><em>its actions often suggest otherwise</em></strong>. While Article 5 of its charter states that an attack on one member is an attack on all, most of NATO’s military operations have not been in response to direct threats against its members. Instead, the alliance has engaged in interventions far beyond its borders, raising serious questions about whether NATO is still adhering to its original mission or if it has evolved into an <strong><em>offensive force under the pretense of security</em></strong>.</p>



<p>NATO’s interventions in Yugoslavia (1999), Libya (2011), and Afghanistan (2001-2021) highlight this contradiction. These operations were justified with narratives of humanitarian intervention or counterterrorism, yet their long-term consequences have often resulted in more instability rather than security. If NATO’s primary role is to defend its members, why does it repeatedly engage in conflicts that have little to do with collective defense?</p>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="alignleft size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ruins-helicopter-1024x682.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2326" width="483" height="322" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ruins-helicopter-1024x682.webp 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ruins-helicopter-300x200.webp 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ruins-helicopter-768x512.webp 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ruins-helicopter.webp 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 483px) 100vw, 483px" /></figure></div>



<p>&nbsp;These cases suggest that NATO is not strictly defensive but selectively engages in conflicts based on political and strategic interests. This raises concerns among both NATO members and non-member states about the alliance’s true purpose.</p>



<p>A truly defensive NATO would focus on protecting its borders rather than engaging in foreign interventions. If the alliance is to remain credible, it must clearly define the limits of its military involvement and ensure that its operations align with international law. The world does not need another military force acting under ambiguous justifications—it needs stability and de-escalation.</p>



<p>The key question remains: Will NATO return to its defensive roots, <strong><em>or will it continue to act as an interventionist power</em></strong> under the guise of collective security?</p>



<h2>How Non-Member States Perceive NATO’s Actions</h2>



<p>While NATO presents itself as a protector of democracy and peace, how do non-member states view its actions? In regions such as Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa, NATO is often seen less as a guardian of security and more as a force of Western influence. Its interventions—both military and political—raise alarms about the alliance’s growing impact on the sovereignty of non-member states. How can NATO claim to defend peace when it’s perceived by many as an aggressive force that disregards national boundaries and interests?</p>



<p>From Russia’s vehement opposition to NATO’s expansion, to the widespread disillusionment in the Middle East after NATO’s interventions in Libya and Afghanistan, non-member states view NATO with growing skepticism.</p>



<ul><li><strong>Russia</strong> sees NATO’s eastward expansion as a <strong><em>direct threat to its sphere of influence and security.</em></strong> Despite repeated warnings and diplomatic appeals, NATO’s inclusion of countries like Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania has heightened tensions and led to a militarization of the region.</li><li><strong>Middle Eastern states</strong>, particularly in Syria and Libya, have witnessed NATO interventions that were framed as humanitarian missions, only to result in <strong><em>chaotic power vacuums, economic collapse, and the rise of extremist groups</em></strong>. These actions are often seen as motivated by Western geopolitical interests, rather than genuine concern for regional stability.</li><li><strong>Africa</strong> has also felt NATO’s influence, as seen in the fallout from the Libyan intervention. NATO’s role in toppling Gaddafi left Libya in a <strong><em>state of lawlessness, which spread instability throughout the Sahel and beyond</em></strong>, exacerbating the region’s security challenges.</li></ul>



<p>These interventions have left non-member states wary of <strong><em>NATO’s true intentions</em></strong>. They are increasingly questioning whether the alliance’s actions are genuinely in the interest of global peace, or whether they are serving a geopolitical agenda that undermines regional autonomy.</p>



<h2>&nbsp;Conclusion: Maintaining Global Peace in an Evolving World</h2>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="alignright size-full is-resized"><img loading="lazy" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/world-peace-white-doves.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2331" width="390" height="254" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/world-peace-white-doves.webp 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/world-peace-white-doves-300x195.webp 300w" sizes="(max-width: 390px) 100vw, 390px" /></figure></div>



<p>In a world where tensions are rising and conflicts are becoming more complex, the role of military alliances like NATO has never been more critical. While NATO was founded to ensure collective defense, the challenges of today—ranging from cyber threats to regional instability—demand a <strong><em>broader understanding of what it means to maintain peace.</em></strong> The question is no longer whether NATO is fulfilling its original mission, but rather how it can adapt to the changing nature of global security and contribute to lasting peace in a multipolar world.</p>



<p>NATO has the potential to be a central force in maintaining global peace, but only if it commits to a broader vision—<strong><em>one that prioritizes stability and cooperation over military domination.</em></strong> The alliance must shift its focus to peaceful conflict resolution, global cooperation, and addressing non-traditional security threats. By using diplomacy, <strong><em>promoting dialogue</em></strong>, and reinforcing the values of sovereignty and especially <strong><em>respect for international law</em></strong>, NATO can be a true force for peace in the world.</p>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="aligncenter size-full is-resized"><img loading="lazy" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/peace-over-war.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2330" width="381" height="286" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/peace-over-war.webp 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/peace-over-war-300x225.webp 300w" sizes="(max-width: 381px) 100vw, 381px" /></figure></div>
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		<title>From Disinformation to Deepfakes: Unraveling Modern Warfare Tactics</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/from-disinformation-to-deepfakes-unraveling-modern-warfare-tactics/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=from-disinformation-to-deepfakes-unraveling-modern-warfare-tactics</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Aug 2024 16:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=2303</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[As we have probably all become aware, in the last 30-40 years the connectivity of the entire world has grown wildly. In the twilight of the 20th century, distances stopped being a burden and people travel more and more easily to other countries and different continents. Both travel time and cost have been drastically reduced, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="has-text-align-left">As we have probably all become aware, in the last 30-40 years the connectivity of the entire world has grown wildly. In the twilight of the 20th century, distances stopped being a burden and people travel more and more easily to other countries and different continents. Both travel time and cost have been drastically reduced, all due to the rapid development of technology.</p>



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<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" width="640" height="480" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/egypt-1344335_640.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-2310" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/egypt-1344335_640.webp 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/egypt-1344335_640-300x225.webp 300w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></figure>
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<p>In the military sense, but also the sense of politics, this development of technology has also led to major changes that can be described as a revolution of disinformation and propaganda. Of course, propaganda is not a new term and has existed as a weapon of rulers for thousands of years. One of the most powerful rulers of ancient Egypt, Ramses II (1279-1213 B.N.E.), was very dedicated to propaganda. The battle for which he is most famous, the Battle of Kadesh (in present-day Syria) against the Hittite Empire, was a battle that Rameses II did not win, but by depicting the battle on the walls of temples throughout Egypt, he presented it as a great victory before his people, who celebrated him because of his military skills and success.</p>
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<p>In modern times, at the peak of technology and the possibility of spreading different messages, information (and especially disinformation) has become a very important weapon and tactic both in the internal and foreign policy of each state and in the wars that have been happening in recent decades. In this sense, disinformation would be fake news that is used for the purpose of self-promotion or discrediting the other party. Deepfake, on the other hand, represents a much more complex structure and a more complex approach. In the era of artificial intelligence, with a little logistical support, it becomes extremely easy to insert video or audio of a specific person into disinformation in order to present so-called proof of the disinformation itself. Nowadays, online software also does this very easily, while we can only guess how far the technology of large corporations, states, and state secret services reaches.</p>



<p>In the internal politics of the state, the spread of misinformation, although it can have dangerous consequences, most often represents nothing more than internal political fights and collecting votes and points for the next elections. In the foreign policy sense, misinformation can represent a serious weapon and tactic for achieving dominance in the geopolitical sense. This dominance is one of the very serious goals of the strategy of many large countries. Domination in the geopolitical sense can mean a privileged status in trade, developing the military industry, opening new markets (and keeping the old ones), and various other privileges.</p>



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<p><meta charset="utf-8">However, in addition to the use of disinformation in peacetime conditions, in a military sense they can represent a weight on the cup that will prevail, and from the comfortable chair of the masterminds of disinformation, bring victory in the wet trenches of the front line. In the following text, we will deal with the main aspects of disinformation in a broader geopolitical sense, but also with the use of disinformation in wartime conditions. Propaganda can be used not only for mere economic weakening and the assumption of dominance but also for achieving ultimate victory in armed conflict. </p>
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<p>However, in addition to the use of disinformation in peacetime conditions, in a military sense they can represent a weight on the cup that will prevail, and from the comfortable chair of the masterminds of disinformation, bring victory in the wet trenches of the front line. In the following text, we will deal with the main aspects of disinformation in a broader geopolitical sense, but also with the use of disinformation in wartime conditions.</p>



<h2>Disinformation in peacetime conditions &#8211; a way to achieve political goals</h2>



<p>In terms of interstate cooperation and geopolitics, disinformation and propaganda play an important role even in countries that are considered to be at the peak of the evolution of democracy. These countries, not only are not immune to the use of disinformation in the achievement of domestic and foreign policy goals, but have advanced so far in this type of struggle for supremacy that it is now quite difficult to see the border, separate information from disinformation, and find a player on the geopolitical scene who is less or more successfully using this tool.</p>



<p>Events in the USA after the 2020 election are one of the examples where it is difficult to separate quality information and misinformation in the sea of ​​information from two opposing political groups. Neither side had the intention to stop their spread and thus prevent what turned into a huge threat to the internal (but also external) stability of one of the world&#8217;s leading powers. Whether it was ignorance, a lack of vision and a look into the future, an inability to understand the real threats that could happen or a mere display of force and measuring muscles regardless of the consequences, it is difficult to say now. Either way, the big political players played on the media playground, each using their own roller coasters, each pulling their own supporters and dragging them unawares into such animosity that what ended up being possibly the largest civil unrest in US history.</p>



<p>Although the spread of disinformation in peacetime conditions most often has consequences for events within countries without spreading to the region, nevertheless, when it comes to large powers that largely control military, financial, social, and other flows, this threat can turn from intrastate challenges to regional and global challenges, risks and threats.</p>



<p>Such and similar tactics are also used by the great powers in relation to smaller states when it is necessary to ensure support, financial dependence, or some other interest. Even though the Eastern powers are not immune to this way of achieving goals, the best examples are often from the Western powers, both because of the number of examples and because of the colorful hypocrisy that is depicted on the canvas of international politics.</p>



<p>Why the hypocrisy? Well, simply because it is interesting how from the part of the globe that considers itself to be the most developed and the most democratic, examples of enormous disinformation arrive in order to lead to a change of government in a country or to a war, in which the same Western powers would then intervene and introduce their multi-trillion capital in military equipment and weapons and thus ensured themselves good earnings and the spread of influence in the world.</p>



<h2>Disinformation in Iraq: Fabricating the Case for War</h2>



<p>One of the best examples of the use of disinformation by major powers against states that resist the imposition of their geopolitical goals is Iraq.</p>



<p>The 2003 invasion of Iraq was significantly fueled by a well-coordinated disinformation campaign aimed at justifying military actions to the domestic and international public. The most prominent element of this campaign was the claim that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Intelligence reports, later proven to be erroneous or exaggerated, were presented as irrefutable evidence of Saddam Hussein&#8217;s capabilities and intentions. Senior officials, including members of the US and UK governments, have often cited these reports, arguing that Iraq&#8217;s alleged WMD programs pose an imminent threat to global security. This narrative was instrumental in gaining public and political support for the invasion, despite significant opposition and skepticism from various quarters, including several UN inspectors who found no significant evidence of active WMD programs in Iraq.</p>



<p>In addition, the disinformation campaign included spreading false links between Saddam Hussein&#8217;s regime and terrorist organizations, particularly al-Qaeda. This narrative capitalized on heightened fears and anxieties following the 9/11 attacks, creating a sense of urgency and moral obligation to action against Iraq. The media played a key role in amplifying these claims, often without sufficient examination or critical analysis. The cumulative effect of these disinformation tactics was to erode public confidence in objective sources of information and create consent for a war that would have profound and lasting consequences. The consequences of these actions have not only led to enormous human suffering and regional instability but have significantly damaged the credibility of the governments involved and their intelligence communities.</p>



<p>After the military intervention, of course, no nuclear program was found or any evidence that it existed.</p>



<h2>Disinformation and deep fake in war conditions as modern warfare</h2>



<p>False information and deepfakes, in addition to their role in peaceful times, have perhaps a more important role in war situations. How? Well, any war intervention needs the support of public opinion, and it is more easily obtained if information is given to a wide audience in such a way as to direct the public&#8217;s perception in the expected direction.</p>



<p>The billions of dollars that the US administration gives to Ukraine Despite the fact that Ukraine, currently mired in corruption, represents a &#8220;bottomless barrel&#8221;, where probably a very large percentage of the money goes into totally wrong hands. The president of a country that is at war, and that loses hundreds of soldiers every day, should not allow himself to be photographed for a prestigious fashion magazine just a few months after the start of military interventions. Taking a photo with the first lady in an environment that is meant to resemble the front lines should in the real world be at least demeaning. But every propaganda is aimed only at certain groups of people. They are never aimed at a wide range of people, especially those who are critical, and will look at every piece of information from multiple angles.</p>



<p>Although this previous example is not an essential example of disinformation, but rather an example of propaganda (as in the example of Ramses II at the beginning of the text), propaganda AND disinformation (and with disinformation AND deepfake) most often go hand in hand. No misinformation can survive without a wide range of propaganda actions and campaigns.</p>



<p>With the start of the military intervention in Ukraine, we can see a handful of examples of disinformation circulating, especially in the Western world. Of course, it is needless to say that these campaigns are not only used by Western powers, but living in the Western world (or a part of the world that is Western-oriented) it is difficult, due to great censorship and self-censorship, to look objectively at Russia&#8217;s propaganda machinery.</p>



<p>Looking at the mainstream media, one can only get the impression of the sincerity of the Western powers and the insincerity of Russia, which is unacceptable to any thinking person. With just a little deeper &#8220;digging in the forests of the Internet&#8221; you can find a handful of buried examples of insincerity of the Western powers that are just waiting to be unearthed, so we leave it to any reader who has a little time and will.</p>



<p>On the other hand, Israel&#8217;s invasion of Gaza is one example of the inconsistency of the Western powers (under the baton of the USA) in relation to the conflicts that are taking place. Tens of thousands of killed civilians who pass by without condemnation by Western administrations, politicians, and the media as well as the UN as the umbrella institution of global security, are only proof that not all victims have the same value.</p>



<p>In this case, it is especially clear how they use disinformation along with propaganda to distort the truth and the factual situation. How a handful of examples of oppression of one ethnic group are forgotten and only events from a certain date (October 7, 2023) are remembered. As the culprit is constantly being sought on one side, and the other side, regardless of many war crimes (witnessed by civilians, journalists, representatives of the UN, and other missions), continues to present itself as a victim of the minority.</p>



<h2>Propaganda and Disinformation in Libya: Manipulating Narratives for Regime Change</h2>



<p>Also, one of the examples of the spread of disinformation was the war in Libya, where the Western countries had the sole goal of overthrowing Muammar al-Gaddafi from power. In addition, this is another example of the short-sightedness of the same countries and an example of how they rarely have &#8220;what to come&#8221; or &#8220;the day after&#8221; in their plans, so as a result we have civil wars, riots, the decline of democracy, etc.</p>



<p>During the civil war in Libya, information about the dictatorship of Muammar al-Gaddafi, the alleged crimes, and the fear with which he maintained his position was pushed on most of the Western media, but hardly anywhere could you see what positive aspects this leader introduced to his country. And maybe, and just maybe, some states can&#8217;t even be functional without a &#8220;dictatorship&#8221;, because the fact is that after the death of Gaddafi, there is not a single faction that is capable of uniting the people and putting the country back on its feet.</p>



<p>Too often it happens that the West enforces its system of values ​​and moral norms while ordinary people in third countries suffer and die. That under the slogan of introducing democratic values, the devaluation of human rights and the growth of corruption, which always accompanies these &#8220;democratic actions of the Western powers&#8221;, are taking place. And whether it&#8217;s a coincidence or not, these countries, where they &#8220;invest in democracy&#8221;, almost always have mineral wealth or are located in strategic geopolitical areas.</p>
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		<title>Western powers in Russia-Ukraine war</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/western-powers-in-russia-ukraine-war/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=western-powers-in-russia-ukraine-war</link>
					<comments>https://regiosec.com/western-powers-in-russia-ukraine-war/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Nov 2022 21:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Region]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=2236</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Here is an alternative opinion on 2 main mistakes made by western powers that led to the escalation of the ongoing conflict:]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">WESTERN POWERS  </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient">IN RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR - 2 main mistakes of western countries</span></h1> 		
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				<p>Western powers have a big role in Russia-Ukraine war. First and most important fact – <strong>there is no justification in attack to sovereignty and territorial integrity of an independent country!</strong> There is no doubt. But in this war between Russia and Ukraine, there is a big (as a mountain) mistake in the western world, and we have to be aware of that.</p><p>Russia declared a special military operation on the territory of Ukraine for its own reasons. We can debate how good reasons are they or did Russia had the right to do that but we won’t. Many do that and if you want to read about it, you can easily find blogs and texts on that topic.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="579" height="387" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Bombing_a_bridge.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2237" alt="bombing_a_bridge" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Bombing_a_bridge.png 579w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Bombing_a_bridge-300x201.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 579px) 100vw, 579px" />														</div>
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				<p><strong>We believe that looking deeper into the reasons, there is a big mistake or mistakes made by the west that led to this scenario</strong> where the hardest blows are taken by Ukrainian people (and Russians too), but it has an impact on the whole world. <strong>Especially in underdeveloped countries.</strong> It is very hard to be in a position to influence the world, which western powers have, but there is also a big responsibility for the people of, in this case, Ukraine, but also every other country and its people, that are affected by this crysis.</p><p><strong>Here is an alternative opinion on 2 main mistakes made by western powers that led to the escalation of the ongoing conflict:</strong></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Bending the international law</h2>		</div>
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				<p><strong>This hasn’t started in 2022, or 2014.</strong> Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, western countries, the EU, and NATO are trying to weaken the Russian impact in every corner of the world. And every time it is perceived as a fight for democracy although it was always a fight for the market and resources. But every time Russia wanted to get stronger and take some earlier power back it was perceived as a tremendous security risk for global security.</p>					</div>
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				<p><strong>The bombing of Yugoslavia</strong> – 72 days of war between David and Goliath, wasn&#8217;t an attack on the territorial sovereignty of an independent and internationally recognized country, <strong>according to western media and politicians.</strong> Although the main goal was to take 20% of that country and give independence to separatists and terrorists! </p>					</div>
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												<img width="545" height="362" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Devastation_of_war_Ukraine.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2238" alt="devastation_of_war_in_Ukraine" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Devastation_of_war_Ukraine.png 545w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Devastation_of_war_Ukraine-300x199.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 545px) 100vw, 545px" />														</div>
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				<p>With no act in international law to give them the right to do that. But there is no law in security policy and international politics. <strong>It is, and has always been – MIGHT MAKE RIGHT!</strong>  Or, it will be as mighty countries decide. They decided to recognize an independence of a breakaway country with no law to back it up, and in that situation it was OK. It was, as they say even today, <strong>SUI GENERIS</strong> – or unique case.</p><p><strong>The hypocrisy behind that words – SUI GENERIS</strong> is as big as the sun. Sui generis or the „unique case“ is a case where there is nothing in legal norms to back the decision and then they say „Yes, maybe it is slightly against the law but it is SUI GENERIS“. Can you see the comedy behind that words? It would be a comedy only if it doesn&#8217;t have an impact on so many innocent and poor people. There is no cost for the west that they will pay for their interest.</p>					</div>
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				<p><strong>In the biggest challenge of 2022, the RUS-UKR war</strong>, „the west will fight against Russia until the last Ukrainian“. Unfortunately, this isn’t the first time, and that is the main justification of Russian diplomats when talking about this „special military operation“.</p><p><strong>The „Arab spring“ that took action in the second decade of the 2000s</strong> (after the mentioned bombing of Yugoslavia) was a series of actions, financed by the western countries to take down totalitarian regimes.</p>					</div>
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				<p><strong>But the result wasn’t what expected. It led to chaos and regional unrest that continues to these days.</strong></p><p>Tunisia is maybe the only country that has a positive outcome. Egypt has still a big problem with corruption <strong>(looking at the Corruption perception index it is in 117th place of 180 countries according to Transparency International)</strong> and that is also one of the better outcomes. Libia <strong>(172th’180)</strong>, Yemen <strong>(174th/80)</strong>, and Syria <strong>(178th/180)</strong> and that is only about corruption. There is still a pang of hunger, humanitarian catastrophe, and war going on. <strong>That shouldn’t be the legacy of western investment in democracy.</strong></p><p>This is why the East isn’t satisfied with the western influence and attempts to spread western values.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">The lack of diplomacy</h2>		</div>
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				<p>Is there a logical answer to the question – <strong>Why do we need a war going on in the 21st century?</strong> Haven’t we evolved enough to understand that everything can be solved only when we respect the other side? And we keep electing ignorant people (and persons that put their interests as more important)  to lead us, and the most mature answer in most of the security policy challenges we get from China, a country that doesn’t have democratic elections. <strong>Isn’t that comic?</strong></p>					</div>
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				<p>Western powers keep pushing their own interests regarding the message they are sending, but when someone else tries to use a similar logic – it’s not by international law. Especially in the case of Ukraine.</p><p>In every possible way, they said how NATO expansion to Ukraine was a security threat to them but no one wanted to listen. Western countries pushed Ukraine into open conflict with the other side being many times stronger and better prepared. And who is suffering? <strong>Ordinary people!</strong> Ordinary people in both warring states, and most of the world.</p><p>Leading people in those western countries are not standing for the people that they are representing. If they would be in concern for their people, this would be over after a few days. Smart leaders would find a way to end this global humanitarian catastrophe, and the main question is: <strong>WHERE IS DIPLOMACY HIDING?</strong></p><p>The answers like „Russians wouldn’t talk“ or „They don’t want the end of the conflict, only the escalation“doesn’t really stick. <strong>Everyone has his own goals but negotiations have to be conducted!</strong> As much as it is hard to sit with the other side, it is essential to do it if you want this insanity to stop! Where the responsible leaders are hiding? <strong>Those who will step out and try to take it to the next level, where no one should die!</strong></p><p>Yes, it’s hard. But hard only in a way that you should <strong>„suck it up“ and sit at a table</strong> to stop this crisis that affects the whole world. And I am certain that, if that happens, if leaders just stop measuring their muscles and start thinking about the greater cause and peace – everything is possible.</p>					</div>
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				<p>In the end, as Eleanor Roosevelt said: <strong><em>Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people</em></strong><strong><em>. </em></strong>So why wouldn’t we start to discuss ideas instead of stubbornly sticking to the views we have?</p><p><strong><em>„Be the change you want to see in the world“ – </em></strong><strong>Mahatma Gandhi</strong></p>					</div>
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		<title>Nigerian security challenges &#8211; Top 4 threats to national security</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/top-4-nigerian-security-challenges-top-4-in-2021/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=top-4-nigerian-security-challenges-top-4-in-2021</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Nov 2021 19:58:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Traditional Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=2081</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nigerian security challenges Top 4 threats to national security As one of many African countries with numerous security challenges, Nigeria faces multiple security threats that are endangering people and decelerating the prosperity of the country. We took 4 security challenges for the Nigerian government to face if developing democratic and independent institutions are the main [&#8230;]]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span"> Nigerian security challenges <br> </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient">Top 4 threats to national security</span></h1> 		
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				<p>As one of many African countries with numerous security challenges, Nigeria faces multiple security threats that are endangering people and decelerating the prosperity of the country. We took 4 security challenges for the Nigerian government to face if developing democratic and independent institutions are the main goal. Those security challenges are:</p>					</div>
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										<span class="elementor-icon-list-text">Separatism</span>
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										<span class="elementor-icon-list-text">Piracy</span>
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										<span class="elementor-icon-list-text">Organized crime</span>
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										<span class="elementor-icon-list-text">Terrorism</span>
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												<img width="1024" height="832" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Nigeria-flag-1024x832.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2085" alt="Nigeria flag" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Nigeria-flag-1024x832.png 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Nigeria-flag-300x244.png 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Nigeria-flag-768x624.png 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Nigeria-flag.png 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />														</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">#1 Separatism of Biafran people as a security challenge</h2>		</div>
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											<a href="https://www.cfr.org/blog/powerful-rhetoric-gives-insight-biafran-independence-narratives" target="_blank" rel="noopener">
							<img width="400" height="267" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/powerful-rhetoric-gives-insight-biafran-independence-narratives.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2086" alt="Biafran separatism is the first challenge to Nigerian national security according to RegioSec" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/powerful-rhetoric-gives-insight-biafran-independence-narratives.png 400w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/powerful-rhetoric-gives-insight-biafran-independence-narratives-300x200.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px" />								</a>
											<figcaption class="widget-image-caption wp-caption-text">Source: https://www.cfr.org/</figcaption>
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				<p><strong> </strong>As indigenous people of Igbo started to unite under strong ethnic beliefs and feel strong and unique, the idea of having their own country slowly evolved. In the 1960s a civil war emerged over economic, religious, ethnic, and cultural tensions and resulted in a runaway state called The Republic of Biafra. The tensions endure ever since.</p><p>In the 21st century, these tensions are not gone. The leader of Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Nnamdi Kanu was arrested in October 2021, in London with suspicion of being involved in terrorist actions in Nigeria. The Nigerian government is eager to deal with this group of people that are accused of a series of attacks on state leaders, politicians, and institutions.</p>					</div>
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				<p>So, even the decades after Nigeria took control over the Republic of Biafra, and regain its territorial integrity, this problem continues to exist and to have an effect on <a href="https://regiosec.com/contemporary-security-challenges/"><strong><span style="color: #ff6600;">contemporary security challenges</span></strong> </a>in Nigeria but also in possible civil war as one of <a href="https://regiosec.com/traditional-security-threats/"><strong><span style="color: #ff6600;">traditional security threats.</span></strong></a></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">#2 Piracy in Nigeria</h2>		</div>
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				The Gulf of Guinea was the region with the most pirate attacks in 2020. The operations of numerous pirate groups resulted in the most kidnapped people in the world (over 90% of all kidnapped crew members were in the Gulf of Guinea). With at least 35 attacks in one year,  almost 3 of registered attacks in a month on average, this represents a big security challenge for the countries in this region. We have to consider that this number is not final because many companies avoid reporting these attacks with a fear of publicity and repeated attacks. <br>In the Horn of Africa, these contemporary security challenges
that reappeared after centuries continue to be a big challenge not only for the region but also globally. Many world governments along with big international companies are very interested in dealing with this problem but it remains unsolvable over the years.					</div>
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											<a href="https://www.sail-world.com/Australia/Gulf-of-Guinea-replaces-Somalia-as-most-dangerous-place-to-sail/-110145?source=google" target="_blank" rel="noopener">
							<img width="660" height="383" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Gulf-of-Guinea-replaces-Somalia-as-most-dangerous-place-to-sail.jpeg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2096" alt="Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea replaces Somalia as most dangerous place sail" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Gulf-of-Guinea-replaces-Somalia-as-most-dangerous-place-to-sail.jpeg 660w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Gulf-of-Guinea-replaces-Somalia-as-most-dangerous-place-to-sail-300x174.jpeg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px" />								</a>
											<figcaption class="widget-image-caption wp-caption-text">https://www.sail-world.com/</figcaption>
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				Even though this threat has risen in the past few years, the groups that are involved are not new. The groups that use to attack pipelines and kidnap oil workers just spread their tentacles to sea and the international waters. On land, territorial jurisdiction is not in question, but in the international sea, it is very hard for governments to fight because it is hard to determine the jurisdiction. So, the bottom line is – piracy remains a big issue for the Nigerian security agencies.					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">#3 Organized crime</h2>		</div>
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												<img width="640" height="427" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Wild-life-trafficking.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2143" alt="Wild life trafficking is one of aspects of organized crime in Nigeria" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Wild-life-trafficking.jpg 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Wild-life-trafficking-300x200.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" />														</div>
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				<p>Like every country on our planet, especially those with weak institutions, law enforcement agencies, and other problems (financial, educational, ethnic, etc), Nigeria faces organized crime. Of course, the propensity to corruption is a bonus, because corruption is one of the main characteristics and preconditions for organized crime. According to <span style="color: #ff6600;"><strong>Transparency International</strong></span> (<a href="https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2020/index/nzl" target="_blank" rel="noopener">www.transparency.org</a>), Nigeria is in 149th place for the corruption perception index (CPI) for 2020.</p><p>Next, if we see the Global Crime Indeks (<a href="https://ocindex.net/country/nigeria" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://ocindex.net/</a>) for the same year, we can see that the Criminality Indeks for Nigeria is 7,15 and it places Nigeria to 5th place out of 193 countries globally, 2nd place in Africa and 1st in West Africa. It is a very high index, and it should take enormous effort to lower that index.</p>					</div>
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				<p>The main branches of organized crime in Nigeria are:<br />      <strong> • Human trafficking and smuggling</strong><br /><strong>       • Illegal trade (weapons, oil…)</strong><br /><strong>       • Wildlife trafficking</strong><br /><strong>       • Drug trafficking</strong></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">#4 Terrorism</h2>		</div>
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				<p>The first association that comes to mind when one thinks about terrorism in Nigeria is Boko Haram. This is not a mistake. Boko Haram is still a major threat to the national security of Nigeria. This is a terrorist organization operating mostly in Nort-western parts of Nigeria, but also Niger and Chad. With responsibility for hundreds of thousands of deaths, and between 2 and 3 million displaced because of the conflict, and continuous attacks on civilians, police, and armed forces, Boko Haram was and still is one of the most dangerous terrorist organizations.</p><p>The other terrorist organization operating in Nigeria is Islamic State – West Africa Province (ISWAP). ISWAP is a group subordinated to Islamic State and is an armed, radical Islamist group. Not as famous and inglorious as Boko Haram but still, with thousands of followers, ISWAP represents a major security threat to Nigerian security agencies.</p>					</div>
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							<img width="700" height="394" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Boko-haram.jpeg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-2156" alt="Boko Haram is still one of the great threats to the security of Nigerian state" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Boko-haram.jpeg 700w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Boko-haram-300x169.jpeg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" />								</a>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Not in the list but still a great challenge <br> to security – COVID 19 </h2>		</div>
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				<p>We will conclude this list with 4 security threats to the government but in 2021, we cannot avoid mentioning the COVID 19 as one of the of-list security challenges. As we all fight this pandemic on various levels Nigeria is not excluded. Without talking about numbers, because the numbers are changing dramatically every day, this crisis remains a big challenge for security as well as for the economy, education, and many other aspects of living.</p>					</div>
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			16.02.2025.		</span>
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		<title>Covid 19 and law enforcement</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/covid-19-and-law-enforcement/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=covid-19-and-law-enforcement</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2020 19:00:42 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Region]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=1846</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[What are the biggest challenges law enforcement will face in this pandemic crisis? What are the guidelines, and what can we learn for the future?]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">Covid 19 and law enforcement agencies </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient"> during the pandemic crisis</span></h1> 		
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-xl">Five biggest challenges </h2>		</div>
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				<p>There is a tremendous influence between pandemic crisis of COVID 19, and law enforcement agencies. The fact that law enforcement agencies are one of the most important parts of the government after the health system, in a pandemic crisis like this in early 2020, we have to understand what are the mutual challenges of every country regarding the inner security of the state. The problem of quarantine, health self-protection, ongoing and new criminal investigations, reorganization, and civic disobedience are only some of many. The pandemic crisis is not very common, and unlikely other types of crises that law enforcement agencies deal with, this one is not short – we can say that it is a protracted crisis that can last for months. Here, we will try to identify interdependence between COVID 19 and law enforcement agencies, and 5 challenges for security and law enforcement agencies that have to be dealt with during the crisis and what is essential for them is that we have to conduct them in time – before they erupt and evolve from challenges to threats</p>					</div>
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			<h3 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default"><ol><li><strong>Lockdown / Quarantine</strong></li></ol></h3>		</div>
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				<div><span style="font-size: 14px;">There is a big One of the least popular measures that the government can oppose but a significant number of countries have made this step, is a quarantine. One after another, countries have closed schools and universities, interdict sports and cultural events, gatherings of more than a specified number of people (depending on the country)&#8230; Many countries first imposed quarantine to people who were infected and with minor symptoms or the ones who were in contact with an infected person. That quarantine was between 14 and 28 days and for those who had no, or suffered minor symptoms, quarantine was a self-isolation. This also affected police forces, but we will come to that. Some countries, after realizing that it will be difficult to keep people in their homes, relying only on their common sense, reached out to a lockdown and curfew. </span></div>					</div>
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												<img width="1024" height="618" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-Pete-Linforth-Pixabay-1024x618.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1851" alt="Stay at home" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-Pete-Linforth-Pixabay-1024x618.jpg 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-Pete-Linforth-Pixabay-300x181.jpg 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-Pete-Linforth-Pixabay-768x464.jpg 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-Pete-Linforth-Pixabay.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />														</div>
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				<p><span style="font-size: 14px;">This will additionally burden the law enforcement agencies that had little time to prepare and organize. Stucked with daily jobs and obligations these agencies now have to deal with controlling thousands of people in self-isolation and the whole population during the curfew. A big challenge that requires enormous effort.</span></p>					</div>
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			<h3 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">2.	Spreading panic/False news</h3>		</div>
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				<p><strong> </strong></p><p>False news or misinformation is not a new phenomenon in the 21st century, but in a time of crisis, it can bring unrest and panic into the population, which can then result in a threat to the security. By addressing this problem we will stop, or at least reduce misinformation that leads to panic. Traditional media are not the problem – the problem rests in the social media. Social media is the place where everyone can write or share the information which we can use as a benefit but on the other had it can be an enormous problem for the public order. When some news, from a questionable source, is shared a couple of thousands of times, it gets more accepted and as adopted by readers, as the news from a recognized media company. <span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: start;">This presents a major problem when the news is about the number of deaths, the number of infected people, deficiency of medical supplies, etc.</span><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: start;"> </span></p>					</div>
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				<p>The law enforcement agencies and different departments that deal with cybercrime, have to participate in finding the sources of that misinformation, especially if that misinformation can be a criminal act, and process it. Also, the government has to publish this effort and to notify the public of most of these processes, because in that way the citizens will have information about the false news, and they will be more aware of the existence of such information.</p>					</div>
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mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><!--[if !supportLists]--><b><span lang="EN-US">1.<span style="font:7.0pt &quot;Times New Roman&quot;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></b><b>3. Internet crime</b><span style="color: var( --e-global-color-primary ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-primary-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-primary-font-weight );"></span></p></h3>		</div>
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				<p>Connected with previous, is internet crime. Sharing false news, and putting them in a context where people take them as truth is not a crime. At least not a big one. What we mean with this internet crime, is more like organized scams, and even pedophilia and other types of crime where predators lurk through the social networks and different forums, seeking for a victim. It is not yet proven, but we have to suspect that this kind of crime will unfortunately rise. Why? Most of the countries imposed measures like lockdown, quarantine, and curfew. These measures can raise the usage of home computers, the internet, social networks, forums, etc. If this is so than it is expected that this type of crime will also rise.</p><p>The bigger issue, if we look cybercrime, was presented by the <a href="https://www.interpol.int/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Interpol</a>, where they explain three very dangerous types of cybercrime in this pandemic crisis – Malicious domains, Malware, and Ransomware <a href="https://www.interpol.int/en/Crimes/Cybercrime/COVID-19-cyberthreats" target="_blank" rel="noopener">(read more)</a></p>					</div>
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			<h3 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">4.	Guidelines for law enforcement agencies</h3>		</div>
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				<p>The job of courageous people in law enforcement is to protect citizens from various threats and crime with prevention but also with bringing to justice of those who committed a crime. But to successfully do this, we have to know how to protect them. Men and women who are in constant contact with citizens and with each other. For that, agencies have to make a very important decision on how to protect their workers. And this is not only the equipment. Strict guidelines on how to act when in contact with an infected or suspicious person. Men and women who work in law enforcement have to keep the work even in these kinds of situations. They&#8217;re not as endangered as the ones in the health system but still – “in the first line”.</p><p>Secondly, reorganization and prioritization inside the agencies, because of two things</p><ul><li>lack of people because of new assignments and prioritizing between departments (patroling, speaking with citizens and giving them directions, patrolling and checking the ones in self-isolation, etc),</li></ul>					</div>
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				<ul><li>minimizing the number of people in shifts (because of necessary social distancing regarding curtailment of infection).</li></ul><p>Of course, this shouldn’t be done at the expense of the purview of law enforcement, and this is why it is so challenging.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">5.	The economic impact of a lockdown and quarantine </h2>		</div>
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				<p>Many experts think that after this pandemic is over we will face another recession on a global scale, and this is not without arguments. The economy is slowing down, some companies are temporarily closed, and some are working but with reduced capacity. It would be extremely optimistic if we think that economy will exit this crisis without consequences. And, even though this is not an issue of the law enforcement agencies, if we look deeper we can predict social disturbing and unrest amid this situation. Governments are preoccupied with the current situation, but experts in law enforcement shouldn’t sit tight and wait for turmoil to come, and not only the riots but different types of misdemeanor and crime, violent and non-violent. The time after the pandemic crisis, some governments can be more challenging than the pandemic itself. For others, it will still demand commitment and expertise.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="768" height="1024" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-James-Paramecio-Pixabay-768x1024.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1850" alt="What are the biggest challenges for law enforcement will face" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-James-Paramecio-Pixabay-768x1024.jpg 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-James-Paramecio-Pixabay-225x300.jpg 225w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Image-by-James-Paramecio-Pixabay.jpg 960w" sizes="(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px" />														</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">In the end, what can we learn from this situation? </h2>		</div>
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				<p>Even though this crisis came unexpected and hit most of the countries, globally, we still have to learn from this. To get out this situation with some knowledge. First, we should never forget this situation as we did before. Governments should always keep in mind that this could happen. Law enforcement agencies, who are the foundation of security and safety of the country and its citizens have to have in mind the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and keep exercising with the knowledge from 2020. This knowledge should contain primarily from experience in reorganization and prioritization of work. This experience is valuable in every kind of crisis from time to time those agencies should train and conduct exercises and in that way stay alerted. With this valuable experience, we should be prepared to act before the challenge grows to be the threat.</p><p>In the end, we cannot forget international cooperation. Many countries were hit by the COVID-19 crisis and even though they had a similar situation, some of them experienced bigger challenges and diverse problems. With that in mind, it is essential to exchange experiences and knowledge because that is the way we will meet the next crisis a bit more prepared.</p>					</div>
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		<title>COVID-19: Who is more responsible? Government or citizens?</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/covid-19-who-is-responsible-government-or-citizens/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=covid-19-who-is-responsible-government-or-citizens</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2020 18:54:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Region]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=1824</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A new virus is not at our doorsteps anymore; it came into our houses and we all have to be serious and fight it together. If we really want to blame the others, we will have plenty of time after we take a victory over this threat. We can, of course, say that China didn’t take proper measures at the beginning, but we also can say that neither Italy nor Spain did. Or any other country that has an immense problem with the virus today. But let us not. Or at least save it for better times.]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">COVID-19:  </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient">Who is more responsible? Government or citizens?</span></h1> 		
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												<img width="1024" height="698" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Početna-virus-1024x698.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1827" alt="COVID-19" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Početna-virus-1024x698.jpg 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Početna-virus-300x204.jpg 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Početna-virus-768x523.jpg 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Početna-virus.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />														</div>
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				<p>A new virus Covid-19 is not at our doorsteps anymore; it came into our houses and we all have to be serious and fight it together. It is a <a href="https://regiosec.com/security-challenges/contemporary-threats/">contemporary threat</a> to the state that every one knows about today.  If we really want to blame the others, we will have plenty of time after we take a victory over this threat. We can, of course, say that China didn&#8217;t take proper measures at the beginning, but we also can say that neither Italy nor Spain did. Or any other country that has an immense problem with the virus today. But let us not. Or at least save it for better times.</p><p>The weakness of the countries, in these cases, is that they are led by politicians who, even when they want the best for the country, aren&#8217;t immune to thoughts of what impact the decisions will have on the party or the current government. If the government loses the trust of its citizens, every measure imposed by the government will be questioned, and that is the situation that has to be avoided.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">We all have to be socially responsible today!</h2>		</div>
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				<p>All citizens have to take measures in their micro-world. If we see our selves as responsible for our community, it will be easier for the government and state agencies to stop the spreading of the virus. <strong>Be the one who cares! </strong>Be the one who is going to change the world. Yes. The governments&#8217; job is to protect us, but this fight is more about how every one of us can contribute to the fight. If government requests of every citizen who could be in touch with the virus, to stay at home, and 90% listens, it is not enough. That means that if 5000 people are requested to stay at home, and 4000 listens – 1000 won&#8217;t. That 1000 will get in touch with the next 5000 or more, and that is how the virus will still spread.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Most of us will probably be in contact with the virus. Some before and some later on</h2>		</div>
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				<p>Some experts say that we have to expect that around 60% of people will be infected with Covid-19 at some point. If 7% of them need intensive care that is an enormous burden for any health care. Even the greatest ones. So the fight isn&#8217;t only to stop spreading the virus but to reduce the number of people who needs intensive care at every moment. To try to evenly deploy the ones who have the virus, over time. <strong>Let us all contribute to this fight! </strong>For every elderly person. For every person with a health problem that is dangerous if combined with Covid-19. For the feeling that we have contributed to the fight, and did our best to save people from our community. <strong>For the healthier surrounding; not only physical but mental as well. </strong>Let us not look for the guilty ones, but stand one next to the other and be kind and full of empathy.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="1024" height="576" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Maska-1024x576.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1828" alt="Girl with the mask" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Maska-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Maska-300x169.jpg 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Maska-768x432.jpg 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Maska.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />														</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">In the end, who is responsible?</h2>		</div>
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												<img width="1024" height="682" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Svet-i-ljudi-1024x682.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1829" alt="Comunity is everything" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Svet-i-ljudi-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Svet-i-ljudi-300x200.jpg 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Svet-i-ljudi-768x512.jpg 768w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Svet-i-ljudi.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />														</div>
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				<p>The responsibility is on every one of us. The government has to do its job and take measures to maintain public health, and to take care of every other aspect of its responsibility, but every one of us has the moral duty to help this fight and to commit to the community in every way we can.</p><p>After all, as Mahatma Gandhy said: <strong>„Be the change you wish to see in the world“</strong>. In these harsh times, only if every one of us does what is best for all, will make us beat this turmoil that will not be over when the virus is gone. The crisis that will probably occur after this fight is where we will see if we are matured and evolved as human beings to the level where we say we are.</p>					</div>
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				<p> As we can see, there are many security challenges that are different than traditional threats. Although we have examples where some countires have these kind of threats on their doorsteps, we can say that most of the countries have to deal with other issues that involves contemporary security challenges. All this challenges and influence on certain countries we will try to explain and also we will strive to give answers to this threats. That is our goal.</p>					</div>
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				<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right; margin: 6.0pt 0cm 6.0pt 0cm;" align="right">Take care and be good – <b><i>RegioSec </i></b></p>					</div>
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				<article class="elementor-post elementor-grid-item post-2321 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-contemporary-threats category-traditional-threats entry has-media">
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				Is NATO Truly a Defensive Alliance? A Critical Review			</a>
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			16.02.2025.		</span>
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		<title>Russia and the Western Balkans is getting stronger?</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/russia-in-the-western-balkans/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=russia-in-the-western-balkans</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Apr 2019 18:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Traditional Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=1659</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Western Balkans. The backyard of the European Union as someone said. But if it really is a backyard of the European Union, why is it so hard for the EU to maintain its influence, and what are the reasons for strong Russian influence in this region? Why is it so hard to finally have the Balkan region without threats to some kind of conflict? In all of these possible conflicts, one party is Serbia and the other is different from time to time.]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">Russia in the Western Balkans: </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient"> Is Russian influence getting stronger?</span></h1> 		
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				<p>Western Balkans. The backyard of the European Union as someone said. But if it really is a backyard of the European Union, why is it so hard for the EU to maintain its influence, and what are the reasons for strong Russian influence in this region? Why is it so hard to finally have the Balkan region without threats to some kind of conflict? In all of these possible conflicts, one party is Serbia and the other is different from time to time. Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo and even Orthodox-majority Montenegro. EU is constantly trying to be the one to finally bring peace to the region but that is hardly possible because others want to be the peace-givers also, and the main problem is that Russia wouldn’t prefer the peace that is brought by the USA, NATO or EU, and vice versa, so there is a constant “diplomatic fight“ in Balkan countries. Furthermore, West wants to show that their project on the Balkan from late XX and early XXI century is still ongoing and Russia uses this conflict to justify their meddling in Ukraine, Georgia, and Crimea. </p>					</div>
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				<p>In that sense, the Balkan region is one of the „diplomatic battlefields“ where, whoever brings peace, will show the other global powers his strength. This region lost the priority over other, bigger conflicts in the world but still, no side wants to leave the region and let it „to its destiny“.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">How the strife between Serbia and Kosovo helped Russia to increase the influence</h2>		</div>
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				<p>The biggest issue in the Balkan now is the frozen conflict between Serbia and its seceded territory, Kosovo. At the end of the 20th century, there was a <a href="https://regiosec.com/traditional-security-threats/">civil war </a>that ended with peace and the UN Resolution 1244 that, in short, said that Serbian government should recall all of its security forces from Kosovo, to welcome international community and its organizations and in future to negotiate about the feasible solution. Twenty years later there is still no solution and it is hard that it will come in the near future.</p>					</div>
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				<p>In 1999. the western powers decided to bomb Yugoslavia because of the conflict in Kosovo and Metohija. It was first planned to do it under the auspices of the UN but as Russia wanted to use the veto in the Security Council, it was decided to do it under the patronage of the NATO. Was it an attempt to bring peace or just to impose influence in the region it is hard to say, but it is hard to accept that those global powers thought that Serbia will stand down and welcome the plan for independent Kosovo without any conflict. Russia then came as one of just a few powers that still considered Kosovo as a part of Serbia.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="800" height="400" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Balkan-Usa-EU-Russia.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1669" alt="Balkan-Usa-EU-Russia" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Balkan-Usa-EU-Russia.png 800w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Balkan-Usa-EU-Russia-300x150.png 300w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Balkan-Usa-EU-Russia-768x384.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px" />														</div>
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				<p>The fight between east and west in Balkan was seen clearly also in 1999. when Russian troops seized the airport in Prishtina before KFOR came to Kosovo just to show the dominance. Again, after Kosovo unilaterally declared independence (2008.), in June 2009. US vice president Joseph Biden came to Serbia and shortly after, in October the president of Russian Federation visited Serbia. And every few years, the prime minister or president of Russian Federation visits Serbia or Serbian officials go to Moscow. Not to mention the Russian economic connections over natural resources, banks and oil companies in most Balkan countries. That is a clear confirmation that the Balkan region maybe doesn&#8217;t have the highest priority in Russian interests but still is one of the regions where Russia, as well as western powers, see the opportunity to raise influence and dominance on a global scale. And Serbia is it not the only Balkan country where Russia wants to increase influence. Also, Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro has economic relations with Russian federation over credits, the pipeline that should go through Serbia to Croatia, Slovenia, and the EU, and remarkably, many politicians carefully use words when speaking about Russia.</p>					</div>
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				Furthermore, if the peace is the only thing that the western countries wanted, many other illogical moves were played, which literally made space for Russia to enhance its influence in Serbia with whom they share Slavic origin and Orthodox religion. 					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">The aftereffect of unilateral decisions on a dialog</h2>		</div>
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					Is it hard to anticipate the consequences of supporting unilateral decisions of one side in a dialog that supposed to end the conflict and to help in the reconciliation of the people in the region? It doesn’t matter which side is that you support but when you recognize the decisions that are made outside of a dialog and without the consent of the other side, you send two messages. 					</div>
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				The first message is to the side that made the decisions you support. That message represents aliment and encouragement for the next decisions. That side gets the message of sustenance for the future and, legitimately expects the recognition of every future unilateral declaration. 					</div>
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				The second message is to the other side, where you send your determination of openly supporting the other party in a dialog. It is not strange that, as a consequence of that support, that side is pushed to look for the support of other powers. What should the other party expect from the dialog if unilateral decisions are almost always supported before they are even negotiated?					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Serbia between the EU and Russia</h2>		</div>
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				<p><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;">The west strongly criticizes Serbian closeness with Russia but refuse to see that besides the fact that Serbia and Russia were relatively close through history, it is west that, with the moves that they take, actually helps Russia in keeping the dominance in a country that wants to become the member of EU. Moreover, during his visit to Republic of Serbia in January 2019., Putin said that Russia has many friends on the Balkans but that he sees Serbia as a strategic partner wich, with frequent bilateral meetings, shows that they are trying to keep and increase the influence and that Balkan is still very interesting for both East and West.</span>Here we come to the paradox that a country like Serbia strives toward the EU but at the same time looking for support from Russia and China for the problem of Kosovo. It is a Gordian knot for the Balkan and South-East Europe that is hard to be solved in the near future. At least if the same tactics are used by western countries, the EU and the international community. „Apart from the energy sector and oil and gas imports, Russia’s role in the Serbian economy has been insignificant. In 2005-2013 Russia invested 598.4 million euros in Serbia, which is 4.5% of all foreign investments carried out over that period“ <a style="font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;" href="https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/osw-commentary/2014-10-29/russia-serbia-soft-power-and-hard-interests" target="_blank" rel="noopener">(Russia in Serbia – soft power and hard interests – Marta Szpala, OSW)</a></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">What is to be done to start the reconciliation?</h2>		</div>
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				<p>The reconciliation between Serbia and Kosovo is almost impossible. Albanians from Kosovo think that they have the right to have their own state, and Serbs are resentful on the thought that Kosovo can be an independent state. Although Serbs are a minority in Kosovo, Serbia is very much connected to that territory for it was the crib of Serbian civilization. More than 1300 monasteries and churches of which more than 150 were destroyed after 1999. so the Serbs are afraid to stay in a country on their own. Also, the rhetoric used by politicians on both sides don’t really help people feel more secure.</p>					</div>
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				As well, maybe the first thing that all countries in the former Yugoslavia should do is to start talking more about themselves and less about the others. As long as we accuse others of crimes, and at the same time avoid speaking of our own, the reconciliation is as far as we can imagine.					</div>
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				<p>Besides all these hard issues it seems like the western community doesn’t have a perception of the dispute between Balkan people and what is the core difficulty of reconciliation. On the other hand, there is Russia, who strongly supports Serbian arguments and say that they will recognize Kosovo only if Serbia, as a central government, recognize it first. Until then, they consider Kosovo as a Serbian territory under the Resolution 1244. It can be that Russia uses this situation because of their own interest, but nevertheless, they speak what Serbs want to hear, about international law and how everyone should comply with it. They use arguments like international law, Resolution 1244, sovereignty and territorial integrity and in the eyes of people in Serbia, it seems like they care.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="700" height="347" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/shake-hands.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1668" alt="shake hands" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/shake-hands.png 700w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/shake-hands-300x149.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" />														</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">More understanding of the overall situation is needed from the international community</h2>		</div>
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				The German government is openly against changing borders even though they weren&#8217;t against it when it came to changing borders of Serbia in 1999. That is why the Serbs are even more impending the German arguments because in Serbian perspective it doesn&#8217;t represent an objective insight and it seems like double standards. This is also one of the reasons why it is so hard for Serbs to accept any deal. 					</div>
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				US government, in the last year, is more opened for a final deal, and don’t have anything against any deal that is accepted by both sides in the negotiations. However, this support maybe came a little late, because the Kosovo government came with a platform for the negotiations that is unacceptable for Serbia.					</div>
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				<p>More honesty from all global powers is what this region needs but it is something that is almost impossible to get, because of the geopolitical situation and the possibilities that this region provides. The possibilities for the west to keep its dominance, and possibilities for the east to regain the influence and domination they want to have.</p>					</div>
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				As a result of the last 30 years of politics and interests of the Balkan countries as well as international community and global powers, we came to the point where the full reconciliation is almost impossible and that situation is a fertile ground for rising capacity in today&#8217;s geopolitics. 					</div>
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				<a class="elementor-post__thumbnail__link" href="https://regiosec.com/is-nato-truly-a-defensive-alliance-a-critical-review/">
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		<title>Economic migration from Balkan countries and the consequences of this phenomenon</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/economic-migration-from-balkan/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=economic-migration-from-balkan</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[BrankoO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2019 18:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=1554</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The migrations from Balkan to Western countries is not a new phenomenon. This, we can say anomaly, is something that is happening for a long time, but it has been multiplied since the beginning of the 1990s. In this article we will try to explain the problems of decreasing the population and what impact does it have on the security of the state.]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">Economic migration from Balkan countries </span></h1> 		
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-xl">and the consequences of this phenomenon</h2>		</div>
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												<img width="640" height="425" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/travel-1934330_640.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1560" alt="Economic migration" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/travel-1934330_640.jpg 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/travel-1934330_640-300x199.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" />														</div>
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				<p>The economic migration from Balkan to Western countries is not a new phenomenon. This, we can say <strong><em>anomaly</em></strong>, is something that is happening for a long time, but it has been multiplied since the beginning of the 1990s. Maybe Slovenia does not have a big problem with this, but it would still be a lie if we say that Slovenia is resistant to it. Other states from former Yugoslavia, along with Albania, Bulgaria and also Greece suffer great damage to the state labor market,  pension fund, and budget because of this problem. Can we be so opened to say that this could be a big security problem for these states? Well, YES! It can be a major problem and we will try to explain why.</p>					</div>
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				<p>According to statistics made from the government of the Republic of Serbia, in the year 2041. in the Republic of Serbia will live around 6.830.008 inhabitants which is 404.091 inhabitants less than in the year 2011. This problem is not only in the number of the population. The problem is more complex than that. In the same year, from the same source of the data, children younger than 15 make up to 14,4% of the population while in the year 2041. it will be 11,7% of the population. At the same time, people older than 65 (now around 17,3%) will make 25,2% in 2041. and the number of people older than 80 years will increase from 3,5% to 7,8% in the same year. These numbers mean that the economy will suffer.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">To look inside the problem, first, we have to see who is migrating and why</h2>		</div>
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				<p>For this migrations, we had different reasons depending on the situation. Armed conflicts in Croatia, Bosnia and at the and of the 1990s in Kosovo, made people run from war. In the 1990s more than 3.000.000 people migrated in EU countries, the USA, Australia etc. After the year 2000, the reasons are either the political environment or economic reasons but in many cases both of them. Young people don’t see the future in the system that is deeply into corruption nore they see a political figure that will change the country to better. They have lost the trust in the government and the future that they see for themselves is not primarily associated with their mother country. </p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">The problem is not only the number of people that are going to seek for a better life but also, who are those people</h2>		</div>
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				<p>Not everyone can get a job in Germany, Austria, Sweden… only those who are experts in the line of industry that is lacking manpower. The states that welcome those experts are growing their economy and states that these people are coming from, will suffer a great labor market problem in the future and not be able to grow their own economy. No state that has a problem with the outflow of young people can expect constant economic growth in the future.</p>					</div>
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				<p><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;">This problem is not a problem for Serbia only. All the states in the Balkans are dealing with a similar problem. Bulgaria, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia, Montenegro, Greece, Romania… some of those states have a bigger problem and some not so big, but the problem is there. Some of those states are trying to deal with this problem and some are not. However, the problem exists, whether we want to admit it or not.</span></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">The big question: What to do with this „drain of brilliance“?​</h2>		</div>
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				<p>The term „drain of brilliance“ represents the fact that brilliant people are migrating and looking for a better life and better opportunities. Young people with perspective, whether they are well educated or not. It is not the only problem for the country to stay without engineers, IT experts, doctors&#8230; it is problem with simpler jobs that need experience and knowledge also. The electricians, people in the construction industry, wooden industry&#8230; that kind of jobs are in demand in western countries as well.  It represents the term when smart people are leaving their country to find an opportunity for a better life. Most of these young people are educated and brilliant in their field and it is a great loss for the country to lose these people for they can be one of the pillars of a good and viable country. Most people that leave those countries are between 24 and 30 years old, although the number of people older than 30 and 40 is not negligible.</p>					</div>
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				<p><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;"> We have to face problems because problems will not solve themselves. The biggest challenge for government is how to deal with that kind of problems and be reelected on the next elections. The measures that the government has to take to fight corruption, poverty, nepotism and other anomalies that follow non-viable state, are not as popular as politicians would like it. In Serbia, the biggest employer is public and not private sector and with that kind of structure, we come to the insolvent country. A country that cannot fill the budget and a country that spends more money than it has. With that situation, the government has to take loans and increase the external debt of the state and young people see that the future is uncertain so they want to get their careers and raise children in a more secure environment.</span></p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">To answer the question „what to do to stop the decreasing of the population“, we have to know what is the source
of this phenomenon</h2>		</div>
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				<p><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;">The source can be two things: </span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 600; text-align: justify;"><em style="font-size: 16px;">bigger mortality than natality</em></span><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;"> in a state and </span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 600; text-align: justify;"><em style="font-size: 16px;">migration of the people</em></span><span style="font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;"> from the state to another country. If we look it that way, the solution is a little bit complex.</span></p>					</div>
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												<img width="640" height="427" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/empty-3733352_640.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-1562" alt="Empty swing" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/empty-3733352_640.jpg 640w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/empty-3733352_640-300x200.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" />														</div>
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				<p><span style="font-size: 16px;">From the year 1930. Serbia doesn’t have natality as big as it would have to be to have a simple reproduction of the population (to have the balance between natality and mortality). To deal with this problem, the government has to do many different decisions. The standard of living has to increase, health care should be better in term of conditions in hospitals, as well as without corruption. Also, the professionalism of the staff is very important but as time is passing it is less and less possible to get to a satisfying level of professionalism and to maintain it. Fantastic doctors are leaving. Nurses, professors, and other people that should be the foundation of professional health care. </span></p>					</div>
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				<p><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;">Y</span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;">oung couples also expect some benefits for families with more than two children, which every government is promising but they don’t deliver. Every year, Serbia stays without a town of 30.000 people due to small natality, and if this tendency continues that is 300.000 people every ten years, and as we said earlier, the consequence is the older population in a country.  </span></p>					</div>
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				<p><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;">The other problem is the </span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 600; text-align: justify;"><em style="font-size: 16px;">migration of the people</em></span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;"> that are searching for a better life in a foreign country. The reason for these migrations is not only bigger salaries although it is the first thing that comes in mind. The problem is bigger than that. The organization „Serbia21“ conducted an extensive survey of people&#8217;s attitudes, in parallel with those who still live in Serbia and those who have, for a long time, already left. They came to the result that 22% of the people in Serbia want to go out. It is a devastating fact as well as the fact that around 60.000 people in a year leave Serbia (officially that number is about 35.000-40.000). On the other hand, if we look at Croatia, from entering the EU near 200.000 people left the country, which is about 5% of the population.</span></p>					</div>
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				<p>Those people that left and wants to leave, are smart people that could be the foundation of the fighting for the better state. According to the same survey, the motives for leaving is the standard of living (41%), better salaries (36%), a bad situation in the country (9%). Young people are disappointed because of the corruption, nepotism, health care, social care and other parts of living that they think the government should make it better.</p>					</div>
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				<span >The government that wants to solve this problem has to have the power and the will to take some effort and aim younger populations expectations. In the last decades, most political parties were promising a better life and a healthy system, but they did a little when got into power. What is that the younger generation wants and why is it hard to get to them? Those generations search for the information on the internet, social networks, forums&#8230; they come to an answer what should good state look alike and they develop their opinions in a different way than older people.</span>					</div>
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				<span>People that in the last decades went to western countries were searching for bigger salaries of course, but also for a good and healthy system. For a system that appreciates hard work and references – not nepotism and good connections. And that is where the government has to look for if they want to do better to keep young experts and people that can certainly be the future in one country. You cannot expect to make the health system better if your experienced doctors, surgeons, and nurses are leaving. </span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 18.6667px; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-align: justify; text-indent: 47.2px;">The state has to give those people a chance to do great things in their own countries!</span>					</div>
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				<span >So, when we look back, can this problem be a security challenge for a country? If we look wider than <a style="font-size: 18.6667px;" href="https://regiosec.com/security-challenges/traditional-threats/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">traditional threats</a> and armed conflicts as the most dangerous security challenges, migration can exemplify a major problem for a state in the future. Normal migrations in normal numbers are not dangerous, but 1% per year is an enormous number of people and is a </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; line-height: 19.9733px; font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 14pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify; text-indent: 47.2px;">“silent alarm” for a state to act immediately.</span>					</div>
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				<span >In the end, migrations in these numbers can be, and certainly are one of the <a href="https://regiosec.com/security-challenges/contemporary-threats/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">contemporary security challenges</a> that the state has to deal with.</span>					</div>
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			<a href="https://regiosec.com/is-nato-truly-a-defensive-alliance-a-critical-review/">
				Is NATO Truly a Defensive Alliance? A Critical Review			</a>
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			16.02.2025.		</span>
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		<title>Military straightening in Balkan region and justification for that choice</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/military-straightening-in-balkan/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=military-straightening-in-balkan</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariaok]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jan 2019 10:01:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Traditional Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=962</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Peace. As much as one wants to be an optimist, no one with common sense is going to think that Global peace is something that we can achieve in this structure of the world. Big, powerful states, natural resources, money float, poverty and economic disbalance in the world are some factors that lead to the cognition of the fact that there will always be some armed conflicts in the Earth. ]]></description>
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					<h1 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">Justification of military straightening </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient"> in Balkan Region</span></h1> 		
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				<p>Peace. As much as one wants to be an optimist, no one with common sense is going to think that Global peace is something that we can achieve in this structure of the world. Big, powerful states, natural resources, money float, poverty and economic disparity in the world are some factors that lead to the cognition of the fact that there will always be some armed conflicts in the Earth. There will always be some interest of powerful subjects (state or non-state) that will lead to some conflict. Also, manufacturing of weapons and military equipment are one of the largest economies in the world. This is why we can say that war is very profitable for some actors in the global stage. </p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Powerful state in the region</h2>		</div>
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				<p>With the dissolution of Yugoslavia, Balkan was left without the most powerful state in the region. One country became five, and in the 2000s, six countries. One army divided on six, one economy divided into six, population divided on six&#8230; when we add years of an armed conflict between states, how much the war can cost, and more than 3 million people left the Balkan and went to Western Europe, Scandinavia, North America, and Australia, we see how much all of these states lost with the dissolution like it was. Could it be the other way? We believe yes, but there is a saying: &#8220;After the battle, everyone is a general&#8221;. This means that it is easier to speak about the things that happened earlier, from this perspective, mostly because we have more information and we don&#8217;t involve the emotion as much as we would in the real situation.</p>					</div>
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												<img width="700" height="400" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/map-RegioSec.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-964" alt="map" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/map-RegioSec.jpg 700w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/map-RegioSec-300x171.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" />														</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">More than 20 years after?</h2>		</div>
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				<p>So, what is happening now, more than 20 years after? Antagonism between ethnic groups multiplied with the speeches of the politicians. The leaders that don’t have the courage to admit their fault and the faults of the government that led those states into war. Those are the reasons why we can’t start looking into the future and not in past. Also, the courage is not the only impediment in reconciliation. Power, interests, economic issues, border disputes, rights of minorities&#8230; These are all the obstacles for peaceful coexistence which is most needed in future.</p>					</div>
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				<p>These days, Balkan countries are still in military marketing, trying to convince the citizens that military threat is the big <a href="https://regiosec.com/security-challenges/">security challenge</a>. That the strong military is indispensable for territorial integrity. Of course, this is a two-way street. You need at least two subjects to have an altercation. In this case, we need at least two countries to have a military competition, and that competition is not good for any of these countries because neither one of them is economically capable of this competition. Forming an army when you have neither money nor equipment, is everything but endeavor to reconciliation. Also, buying used military equipment is mostly marketing. Buying used aircraft when your pilots have a few dozens of flight hours per year if we look logically, is just a commercial for future elections..</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Necessity or not?</h2>		</div>
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				<p>So, from this perspective one question is emerging &#8211; Is it necessary, to modernize the military in a way that Serbia and Croatia, as the two most important states in Balkan, are doing? Well, in a way it is because every state of former Yugoslavia is afraid of the rising influence of others in the region. If they want to stop this competition, the first thing that has to be done is building trust. However, trust is hard to build on the foundations that are built in the 1990s. Those foundations have to be demolished because they stand on the base of nationalism and antagonism. Every single country has to work on that thrust which has to be the first pillar of the future in the region. This is Sisyphean task&#8230; very hard but still not impossible to be done.</p>					</div>
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		<title>Special Police Forces as a part of security system in combating Organized Crime and Terrorism</title>
		<link>https://regiosec.com/special-police-forces/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=special-police-forces</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariaok]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2019 23:38:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://regiosec.com/?p=917</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The fight of the state against terrorism and organized crime is goes through various security subjects that we can divide into conventional and non-conventional. The importance of both is huge and if we want this fight to have the future we should look at them as a whole. The battle of the unconventional security subjects is not so "visible", but it does not diminish the significance of these subjects as a part of the bigger equasion.]]></description>
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					<h2 class="premium-dual-header-first-header  gradient"><span class="premium-dual-header-first-span">Special Police Forces  </span><span class="premium-dual-header-second-header  gradient">as a part of security system in combating Organized Crime and Terrorism</span></h2> 		
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												<img width="700" height="400" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/guns-regiosec.png" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-920" alt="Special Police Force" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/guns-regiosec.png 700w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/guns-regiosec-300x171.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" />														</div>
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				<p>The fight of the state against terrorism and organized crime is going through various security subjects that we can divide into conventional and non-conventional. The importance of both is huge and if we want this fight to have the future we should look at them as a whole. The battle of the unconventional security subjects is not so &#8220;visible&#8221;, but it does not diminish the significance of these subjects as a part of the bigger equation.</p><p> </p>					</div>
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												<img width="374" height="249" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/RegioSec-helicopter.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-925" alt="Special Police Forces" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/RegioSec-helicopter.jpg 374w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/RegioSec-helicopter-300x200.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 374px) 100vw, 374px" />														</div>
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				<p>Nowadays, regardless of the level of awareness about security at both, the national and international levels, the security of citizens and states itself, is threatened by organized crime and terrorism. The fight against terrorism and organized crime as a modern threat to security is increasingly moving from national to international and global level. The reason for this is the transfer of threats from local and national to regional and global networks, which is extremely well-connected primarily due to the economic factor and the enormous profits provided by modern technology.</p>					</div>
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				<p>So, what is the contribution of the police special forces as a part of the conventional subjects in the fight against terrorism and organized crime?</p>					</div>
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				<p>The spectrum of possible operations when talking about the states’ struggle against terrorism and organized crime tells us of the huge need for specialized units that would be ready for action in the short time, in different fields, from various actions of cooperation of national units through various international missions and Joint Force Task Units in endless war against terrorism and organized crime. In this sense, there is a wide range of opportunities that States provide adequately trained special units, both military, and police.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default"><h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default elementor-inline-editing pen" data-elementor-setting-key="title" data-pen-placeholder="Type Here..." style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-size: 24px; font-style: normal;">Terrorism</h2></h2>		</div>
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				<p>In the last few decades, there has been an expansion of terrorism and terrorist acts. However, terrorism is not a term that emerged in the 20th century. Although most medieval actions resemble acts of terrorism, most of them are not, but still, this is not a new phenomenon.</p>					</div>
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				<p>The second half of the XX century is the period when terrorism has become a part of everyday life and there is no man in a civilized world who has not heard of some terrorist actions. This can naturally be associated with the development of media and the flow of the information, but this is exactly what suits the rise of terrorism. It is not easy to answer the question whether terrorism has become known to the masses with the help of mass media or the development of mass media and the speed of information transfer has led to the development of terrorism. This is because the strongest weapon of terrorism is precise that their actions are well known and thus fear among the population is spread. The link between the fear and demands from terrorists is the responsibility of every state to keep its citizens safe. </p>					</div>
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				<p>&#8220;Terrorism is organized use of violence (or threat of violence) by politically motivated perpetrators who are determined to impose their will on the authorities and citizens through fear, anxiety, and panic.&#8221; (R.Gacinovic, 1998). This is only one of many definitions of terrorism, and if we look at it in that way we can say that for terrorism we have to have violence, political motive, and fear. Their goal is to spread fear as wide as then can and to affect as many people as they can.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Organized crime</h2>		</div>
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				<p>Unlike terrorism that seeks to be public and that as many people as possible get to know about the terrorist actions so the effect of panic and fear is spread, organized crime and those who deal with it, tend to remain as imperceptible as possible.</p>					</div>
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				<p>According to UNTOC (<a href="https://www.unodc.org/documents/treaties/UNTOC/Publications/TOC%20Convention/TOCebook-e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">United Nations Convention Against Transnational Organized Crime</a>) “Organized criminal group” shall mean a structured group of three or more persons, existing for a period of time and acting in concert with the aim of committing one or more serious crimes or offenses established in accordance with this Convention, in order to obtain, directly or indirectly, a financial or other material benefit.</p>					</div>
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				<p> Every organized criminal group is followed by the corruption on all levels of the state. From the local authorities and police officers to the government representatives. Organized crime wouldn’t exist if there is no corruption. Corruption is needed in every aspect and part of this organizations. From distributing of the illicit goods and avoiding the prosecution to money laundering, this organizations have to have influence on government, politics, media, etc.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Special Police Forces</h2>		</div>
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												<img width="373" height="249" src="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/a-soldier-in-ambush-regiosec.jpg" class="attachment-large size-large wp-image-924" alt="Special Police Forces" loading="lazy" srcset="https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/a-soldier-in-ambush-regiosec.jpg 373w, https://regiosec.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/a-soldier-in-ambush-regiosec-300x200.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 373px) 100vw, 373px" />														</div>
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				<p> As a part of the forces, involved in the fight against terrorism and organized crime, special forces are an important lever that can bring an advantage to the state. An advantage that is not often on the side of the righteous. In its fight, the state must bear in mind the safety of its citizens, while terrorist and criminal organizations do not have this burden. In many cases, especially in the fight against terrorism, great multiple victims and great fear are essential weapons of the perpetrators, while states tend to minimize these consequences.</p><p>According to Jones and Libicki (2008), the country&#8217;s anti-terrorist action involves the use of various instruments, from police, the Department of Justice, Correctional Services and military, to political and civil-civilian.</p>					</div>
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			<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">State security subjects are divided into:</h2>		</div>
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				<ol><li><strong>Conventional</strong> &#8211; which directly affect security in the country</li></ol><ul><li>The army</li><li>Police</li><li>Customs</li><li>Various inspections</li><li>Prosecution</li><li>Courts</li><li>Bodies for the enforcement of criminal sanctions</li></ul><ol start="2"><li><strong>Unconventional</strong> &#8211; those whose activity indirectly affects security</li></ol><ul><li>Legislative bodies</li><li>Bodies of executive power</li></ul><ol start="3"><li><strong>Others</strong> &#8211; those who in some way contribute to the realization of the security function</li></ol><ul><li>Local government</li><li>NGO</li><li>Educational institutions</li><li>Enterprises and other organizations</li></ul>					</div>
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				<p>In this division of subjects that are contributing to the security of the state, we find that we can put the special police forces inside of the conventional security subjects. Both Army (Ministry of Defence) and Police (Ministry of Interior) can have Special Forces in their organizations. Those Forces can be similar in their structure but the legal framework is different, so the engagement of these Forces is depending on the situation.</p><p class="MsoNormal">There is no serious clash with <span style="text-decoration: underline; color: #ff6600;"><strong><a style="color: #ff6600; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://regiosec.com/security-challenges/contemporary-threats/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">terrorism and organized crime</a></strong></span> without special forces. They are the last pillar of that fight but not the least. The last blow in the fight is almost always given by this kind of forces and that is why they are a substantial part of the system.</p>					</div>
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